| | english | español | français |
Go to record ID

  Home|Finding Information|Record details   Printer-friendly version

Information Resource
Record information and status
Record ID
Date of creation
2012-05-10 19:06 UTC (dina.abdelhakim@cbd.int)
Date of publication
2012-05-10 19:06 UTC (dina.abdelhakim@cbd.int)

General Information
Uncertainty and precaution in environmental management: insights from the UPEM conference
Jeroen P. van der Sluijs
Author’s contact information
Copernicus Institute for Sustainable Development and Innovation,
Utrecht University, Heidelberglaan 2,
3584 CS Utrecht, The Netherlands

Fax: 31 30 2537601.

E-mail address: j.p.vandersluijs@chem.uu.nl
  • English
Publication date
Summary, abstract or table of contents

Communication across the science-policy interface is complicated by uncertainty and ignorance associated with predictions on which to base policies. The international symposium ''Uncertainty and Precaution in Environmental Management'' (UPEM) addressed the philosophy, approaches and scientific tools associated with the analysis and communication of uncertainty and ignorance to decisions makers in relation to the Precautionary Principle. This paper presents a sample of highlights and insights of UPEM of relevance to the environmental modeling communities. Key insights include: (1) Systematic long-term monitoring and learning are essential. (2) More attention is needed for model structure uncertainty and equifinality. (3) Explicit value articulation in environmental assessment is essential. (4) Sophisticated uncertainty assessment and Quality Assurance methodsdsuch as the Walker et al. conceptual uncertainty framework, NUSAP, and codes of uncertaintyexplicit modeling practice from RIVM and EPAdare now available and on their way of becoming main stream. (5) There is a wide range of precautionary interventions (a ban is not the only option). (6) Legal and Ethical dimensions of precautiondsuch as liability, burden of proof, inter- and intra generational equity required more thought. (7) The problems that developing countries face in implementing the Precautionary Principle need more attention.
Thematic areas
  • Scientific and technical issues
    • Risk assessment
Background material to the “Guidance on risk assessment of living modified organisms”
Is this document is recommend as background material for the “Guidance on Risk Assessment of Living Modified Organisms”
Section(s) of the “Guidance on Risk Assessment of Living Modified Organisms” this background material is relevant
Additional Information
Type of resource
  • Article (journal / magazine / newspaper)
Publisher and its location
© 2006 Elsevier Ltd
9 page PDF
Environmental Modelling & Software
Keywords and any other relevant information
Keywords: Uncertainty; Ignorance; Precautionary principle; Quality assurance; Model pedigree

Citation: Environmental Modelling & Software 22 (2007) 590e598